Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.175432 0.207141 0.242618 0.285210 0.334910 0.391030 0.459167
2025-08-24 0.128492 0.169278 0.219790 0.286762 0.373036 0.480233 0.623334
2025-08-31 0.098323 0.140652 0.197216 0.277958 0.389837 0.538926 0.752155
2025-09-07 0.082072 0.125634 0.187584 0.281497 0.419543 0.614162 0.908316
2025-09-14 0.069453 0.112837 0.177990 0.282076 0.443117 0.681463 1.059226
2025-09-21 0.058666 0.100623 0.166832 0.277744 0.457446 0.735262 1.194664
2025-09-28 0.050667 0.091347 0.158520 0.276032 0.474588 0.793919 1.342602
2025-10-05 0.046878 0.088412 0.159861 0.289814 0.517795 0.897598 1.572814
2025-10-12 0.044264 0.087056 0.163515 0.307681 0.569506 1.020040 1.846417
2025-10-19 0.040631 0.083218 0.162152 0.316239 0.605536 1.119009 2.089341
2025-10-26 0.036419 0.077604 0.156710 0.316418 0.626068 1.192337 2.293609
2025-11-02 0.031673 0.070187 0.146813 0.306729 0.626728 1.229298 2.434497
2025-11-09 0.026753 0.061882 0.134516 0.291675 0.617129 1.249707 2.553855
2025-11-16 0.024007 0.057838 0.130383 0.292793 0.640151 1.335682 2.810876
2025-11-23 0.020795 0.052192 0.122021 0.283771 0.641024 1.377820 2.985122
2025-11-30 0.018990 0.049497 0.119666 0.287378 0.668875 1.477213 3.286403
2025-12-07 0.017194 0.046511 0.116207 0.287968 0.690076 1.564771 3.571868
2025-12-14 0.015307 0.042969 0.110920 0.283550 0.699344 1.627566 3.810378
2025-12-21 0.013807 0.040167 0.106996 0.281804 0.714471 1.704592 4.088089
2025-12-28 0.013289 0.039920 0.109376 0.295861 0.768786 1.875173 4.594526
2026-01-04 0.012988 0.040228 0.113211 0.314084 0.835368 2.080590 5.201869
2026-01-11 0.012262 0.039194 0.113377 0.322813 0.879276 2.237153 5.709642
2026-01-18 0.011247 0.037132 0.110476 0.322995 0.901376 2.343649 6.107710